Executive Summary | Top
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SUMMARY OF BASIC FINDINGS
Even with the decline in crime rates throughout the nation,
county jails have remained crowded and resources compromised to dangerous
levels. Many factors beyond crime and arrest rates contribute to the continuing
stress within this sector of government services. Racine County mirrors the
nation in many of the recent trends, but faces increased pressure to improve
and expand the existing detention capabilities. This Master Plan reviews the
past relevant trends; assesses the capability of existing resources; projects
alternative futures; and presents a range of options for oversight and control
of pre- and post-adjudicated offenders.
Growth Determinants Impacting Jail Population
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Between 1990 and the year 2000, Racine County’s population increased
approximately 8% (from 175,000 to 189,500) a number that was ½% greater than
the statewide rate. Low and high range projections for the County’s population
in the year 2020 range between 196,000 and 221,000. For jail planning purposes,
a population projection of 208,000 for the year 2020 was used.
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The County’s projected 20-year growth rate of 9.5% includes an estimated
decline in the number of individuals in the "at-risk" age cohort of 18 to 24
years by the year 2010, suggesting no extraordinary impacts on the justice
system will result from the County’s overall growth.
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Between 1992 and the end of the year 1999, the number of sworn officers
increased 3.6%, as opposed to the 4.1% gain in County population. During this
same period, Reported Index Crime declined 26%, which represented a 29% decline
in the Crime Index Rate. If no major increase in the number of sworn law
enforcement officers occurs due to declining crime rates, the number of future
sworn officers would not have an extraordinary impact on the inmate
projections.
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Racine County arrests account for approximately 70% of admissions.
Concomitantly, arrests for Index Crimes (the most serious) represent just 15% -
20% of total arrests. Although Index Crime arrest statistics provide useful
information regarding a jurisdiction’s response to serious street crime,
predicting the future average daily jail population based upon the percentage
of Index criminals is not valid.
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From 1993 through 2000 criminal filings in Racine declined 14%, from 5,950 to
5,119. During this same period, the number of disposed cases declined 12.9%,
from 5,730 to 4,993, while the number of pending cases declined 46%. The ratio
of Criminal Case Filings to Dispositions (Disposition Rate) is a highly
efficient rate of 97%. While a majority of persons charged with criminal
offenses are not held in jail pending trial, nonetheless the Disposition Rate
has recently dropped below 90%, indicating a possible slow down between the
time of arrest to trial.
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A snapshot of the pre-trial inmate population reveals that approximately 20% of
those charged with a felony are held for 120 days or longer, and that 15% of
those charged with misdemeanors are held in excess of 60 days. As the Criminal
District Courts are not operating in a "clogged situation," the failure to meet
a Wisconsin standard of 90% felonies tried within 120 days and 90% of
misdemeanors within 30 days suggests that jail cases are generally not moved
ahead of non-jail cases. This assessment was confirmed by the State Public
Defender.
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From 1992 through 2000, yearly admissions (ADM) to the Racine County jail
increased 13.5%, from 7,608 to 8,637. More recently, from 1996-1999 admissions
grew 16.9%, while similar sized counties experienced a 6.3% increase. However,
since 1998 the number of Racine County’s admissions has ceased to increase.
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From 1992 through 2000, Racine County’s Average Length of Stay (ALOS) increased
25.3%, from 20.6 days to 25.9 and reached a high of 27.5 days in 1999. By
comparison, from 1996-1999 the ALOS averaged 26.0 days, while the average of
the five similar counties was 20.4.
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Between 1992 and the end of the year 2000, the Average Daily Population (ADP)
increased 42%, from 430 to 612. This increase resulted from an ADM increase of
17% and an ALOS increase of 25%. For the nine years included in the data
analysis (1992-2000) the Peaking Rate average was 3.5%.
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From 1996 through 2000 Racine County’s Incarceration Rate (IR) increased 15.4%,
from 28.0 persons per 10,000 population to 32.3/10,000. Over the same time, the
comparison counties experienced an increase of 40%, from 20.4 to 28.6, and the
national rate increased 13.6%, from 19.6 to 22.2. These numbers suggest that
while Racine County’s IR exceeds the rate of the comparison counties, the IR is
in line with the current national experience.
Jail Population Growth Trends
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Projecting future bedspace requirements is a two-stage process. The first stage
consists of developing a mathematical forecast of inmates based on historical
data. The second stage of the process is the determination of the number of
beds necessary to meet forecast demands.
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A multiple model, historically-based forecasting approach was used to develop
projections assuming no adjustments to current policies and programs. The five
models utilized monthly and annual jail data for the years 1992 through 2000.
The jail’s 2000 average daily population (ADP) of 612 inmates was the starting
point for future projections.
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The average of all the models suggests that the ADP in 2005 could reach 678,
increasing to 749 by 2010, 819 for 2015 and 890 for the year 2020.
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Peaking and classification factors must be added to the forecast numbers to
determine bedspace requirements. A Peaking Rate of 3.5% was computed based upon
historical information. The classification factor provides for separation
requirements caused by short-term situations including inmate segregation
requirements (disciplinary and administrative) and the inability to utilize
individual cells or living areas due to physical plant problems. A
classification factor of 6.0% (5.0% for segregation, 1.0% for unusable living
space) is recommended making the combination of peaking and classification
factors equal 9.5%.
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Adding the peaking/classification factor to the projected ADP numbers suggests
that Racine County will require 820 beds by the year 2010, approximately 897
beds by the year 2015 and 975 beds by 2020. This projection assumes no
adjustments to current incarceration policies. Varying pretrial release
policies, improving court operations, adjusting sentencing practices and the
like could reduce the projection.
Jail Population Reduction Programs
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Programs designed to reduce or limit the growth of jail populations can be
separated into three basic categories: 1) those that reduce admissions, 2)
those that reduce sentenced lengths of stay, and 3) those that reduce pre-trial
lengths of stay.
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The Racine County Sheriff’s Department currently operates seven programs that
reduce jail bed days. Two are outside-the-jail (off-site programs) while the
remaining five are in-house programs.
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The two off-site programs that reduce admissions are Alternatives to
Incarcerations (ATI) and Intensive Supervision (ISP) and include more than 420
individuals on a daily basis. A conservative estimate suggests that 20% of ISP
and 30% of ATI pre-trial defendants would be ordered to jail if these two
programs did not exist, resulting in an increase in the current ADP of 114
persons.
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The five in-house programs reduce the lengths of stay in the jail rather than
reduce admissions or reduce pre-trial lengths of stay in jail.
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The Alcohol and Other Drug Addiction Program (AODA) targets substance abusers
for treatment and home release, which reduced the jail’s ADP by 20 persons in
2000.
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The Children First Employment Program targets individuals in arrears of child
support obligations and reduced ADP by three persons.
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The Day Reporting Center, initiated in May of 2001, is expected to reduce the
jail’s ADP by at least 15.
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The Community Work Service Program reduced the jail’s ADP by two persons in
2000.
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The Inmate Worker Program allows inmates to earn jail credit for helping inside
the jail and reduced the jail’s ADP by 13 persons in 2000.
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The total reduction in the ADP in 2000 resulting from existing programs was
167. If the jail alternative and reduction programs were not operational 60,000
additional annual jail bed days would have resulted.
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A key element in the success of jail population programs is coordination
between the jail and other segments of Racine County’s justice system. A staff
person who coordinates the jail’s diversion programs and handles justice system
information requests must be dedicated to work closely with jail classification
staff and other members of the justice system. The result could be a reduction
of an additional 159 or more inmates on a daily basis as shown in Table ES-1.
Table ES-1
Potential Impact of Alternatives Programs
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A straight-line projection suggests that these programs could reduce the
forecast number from 890 to 718, translating to a bedspace requirement of 800
for the year 2020, as opposed to historical based forecast figure of 975. The
adjusted jail bed requirements are presented in Table ES-2.
Table ES-2
Adjusted Jail Bed Requirement with Diversions
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Opportunities exist for reducing current and future jail populations by 15% -
20%. To accomplish this, the various members of the criminal justice community
would need to make a philosophical commitment and financial commitment to
alternative programming. For planning purposes a conservative approach could
include the following:
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weekend bail hearings by the judiciary
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actions by the prosecutor and defense to expedite pre-trial lengths of stay,
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reduction in rule violation lengths of stay by State Probation, and
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continued support by the courts for the AODA, Children First, and Day Reporting
programs.
These actions could result in inmate reductions approaching 10%.
Capacity and Development Options
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The projected 975 bedspaces projected for 2020 can be reduced to 805 if a
philosophical and financial commitment is made to support the alternatives
recommended in this report. Through the planning effort, the basic bedspace
needs were narrowed to approximately 200 for minimum custody inmates
(predominantly Huber) and 200 additional secure bedspaces by 2020.
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Although the current jail is certified by the Wisconsin DOC to house 650
(excluding the holding cells), the State confirms that this rating was a
one-time determination of maximum
capacity based on the assumption that a long-term solution to crowding would be
implemented.
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Various options were studied that assumed the "safe operating capacity" of the
existing jail should become 450 (as opposed to 650) over time. This would mean
that 1/3 of the existing cells would be reserved for single occupancy as
recommended by the American Correctional Association and supported as a goal by
the Wisconsin DOC. Table ES-3 summarizes the projection of bedspaces compared
to the current rated capacity of 650, but with a rated capacity of 450 as the
2010 target.
Table ES-3
Comparison of Projected Need to Recommended Bedspace Capacity

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Four basic concepts were developed to meet the projected shortfall using a
combination of alternatives and construction of additional bedspaces. One of
these options proposed a combination of implementing the planned State Violator
Facility and using limited additional diversion programs. As demonstrated in
Table ES-4, the impact of this option seemed to result in an appropriate
balance.
Table ES-4
Proposed Development Concept

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During project meetings, a number of options for meeting future housing needs
were discussed. The two options that generated significant discussion are
referenced as Options A and B: Option A locates the 204-bed Huber facility at
an off-site location, while in Option B the Huber facility remains at the site
of the existing jail. Both options can be modified to include the addition of
200 secure beds (four, 50-bed double cell units). For future reference, the
options are identified as:
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Option A-1 - Locate the 204-bed Huber facility at an off-site location.
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Option A-2 - Locate the 204-bed Huber facility and add 200 secure beds at an
off-site location.
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Option B-1 - Locate the 204-bed Huber facility at the existing jail site.
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Option B-2 - Locate the 204-bed Huber facility and add 200 secure beds at the
existing jail site.
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From an operational perspective, the most pressing problem is the convoluted
intake, release, and delivery area. Other problem areas include outdoor
recreation space, medical area, program space, and visitation, among other
areas. However, to correct the intake and release problem the ground level will
have to be reprogrammed and subsequently renovated in order to provide
necessary support and planning space, correct design security issues, and
replace the existing 24 "holding cells."
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The preliminary assessment of space requirements reveals the need to reprogram,
redesign and renovate approximately 17,300 SF of the jail’s ground level. The
new vehicle sallyport requires approximately 2,700 SF. With the removal of the
Wheeler Building and the reprogramming of the Huber housing area, a
state-of-the-art Intake and Release area can be created and separate the
delivery of inmates from goods and supplies.
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The preliminary assessment of space requirements reveals that a 204-bed Huber
facility will require 46,000 – 49,000 SF, depending on an on-site or off-site
location. If developed on-site, the County Board Building will have to be
removed to make space for the new 4-story mid-rise Huber facility. The new
housing is based upon three 64-bed dormitory units for males and a 24-bed
housing unit for minimum custody female inmates. In addition to the dormitory
housing units, approximately 12,000 new square feet for support areas to the
housing will be necessary.
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The off-site locations could include a new "green-field" site with no existing
buildings, thereby permitting a special-built facility. Off-site could also
include "brown-field" locations. Existing structures could be included in
"brown-field" sites. Many examples of successful conversions for minimum
custody facilities exist. If a suitable site can be found, the feasibility of
this approach should be seriously considered. In addition, the existing site
can accommodate a four-level expansion for the Huber housing.
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Additional secure beds will be required within five to seven years. Since these
beds will be assigned to pretrial inmates, the preferred location would be the
site of the existing jail. Population forecasts presented earlier recommended
200 secure bedspaces. Approximately 50,000 to 60,000 square feet will be
necessary for 200 secure bedspaces, including support space.
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The advantages and disadvantages of remaining at the current site or splitting
the operation must be considered before embarking on a multi-million dollar
construction program. From an operational perspective, the consolidation of all
inmates at one site has measurable functional, security, and financial
advantages. Support, whether for a security or food service need, is more
efficient.
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However, with any additional expansion of the Downtown detention capability,
Racine County will have consumed all available land at the present site.
Expansion at the current site will also involve demolition of the County Board
facility and the Wheeler House. Future detention needs beyond the timeframe
addressed in this study will have to occur at an off-site location.
The Cost of Confinement
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The staffing cost of a correctional facility may account for more than upwards
of 75% of operating expenses. At this stage of the project, preliminary
staffing numbers were developed to provide a general guideline for assessing
the operational cost implications of the four described options. The Off-Site
Option (A-1) requires approximately ten more staff for the Huber Facility than
constructing the 204-bed addition at the existing site. With the 200 secure
beds, the staffing differential becomes approximately 14. At an average salary
and benefits for Detention Deputies, in annual cost terms, this staffing
difference between the two options is approximately $392,000 in favor of the
On-Site Option (B-2).
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Factoring in the assumption that non-staff operating costs will add 25% to the
cost of operations, the operational cost premium associated with the Off-Site
option is estimated to be $725,000 for the Huber Facility and $986,000 annually
for both the Huber and Secure Facilities. An anticipated annual vehicle
operating cost of $12,500 and $25,000 should be added to these estimates.
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In the construction industry, costs are driven by many factors that are
difficult for local Government to control. Labor costs generally represent
approximately 50% of the total cost and labor rates are very much
market-driven. In recent years, labor costs have been rising, reflecting, among
other conditions, a competitive economy and a shortage of qualified
tradespersons.
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For the Huber project, the cost of off-site square footage is estimated to
range from $108 to $127 in 2001 dollars. To construct a similar-sized, but
multi-level Huber addition on-site, this range increases to $153 to $183 per
square foot. The approximately 44% higher cost for expanding the existing jail
for Huber beds is the general conditions associated with a restricted, urban
site and the mid-rise design solution that will be necessary.
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The secure bedspaces cost more than the Huber beds since Huber inmates can be
confined in dormitory housing units. The 200 secure bedspaces should be at
least double-occupancy, and can be expected to cost from $33,500 to $50,000 per
cell. The final cost will depend upon more detailed planning and design
studies.
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Table ES-5 shows the estimated construction cost for the two options.
Table ES-5
Preliminary Project Cost Estimates

A 30% factor has been added to the construction estimate to
include fees, furniture and equipment, site preparation, and other similar
costs. A broad estimate for underground parking (64-spaces) has been included
in Option B-2. While sub-surface parking is very expensive, given the extreme
shortage of parking in the vicinity of the Justice Complex, this option may be
necessary.
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The choice of options should take into account the annual operating and debt
service costs. The annual operating costs are largely staff-driven and Option B
(On-site) represents the greatest opportunity to maximize existing staffing
resources. Although Option B-2 is the most expensive capital cost due to the
problems of constructing on the restricted existing site, the operational
savings from Option B, as shown in Table ES-6, offset the higher construction
costs.
Table ES-6
Comparison of Total Estimated Costs for Development Options

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A review of the table confirms the earlier statement that operating cost is the
major financial factor to be considered. Even though Option A-2 is
approximately $5.6 million less in capital cost than Option B-2, the lower
annual operating cost for the On-Site Option yields a average annual savings
over five years of approximately $600,000. Within 10 years, the difference in
capital cost could be offset by the savings in annual operating cost.
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Section 1 - Introduction & Background Issues | Top
The Racine County Jail opened in 1981 as a 144 bed, mid-rise,
podular "indirect supervision" facility. By 1989, the facility had undergone
three expansions and reached a design capacity of 394. Double celling of
housing units commenced in 1993 and the facility is now fully double celled.
This results in a facility rating of 650 beds, a figure that is 64% greater
than design capacity. From 1992 to the end of the year 2000, the jail’s average
daily population (ADP) rose from 430 to 612, an increase of 42%.
Currently, the Racine County Jail operates at less than the
state rated capacity and therefore is not officially overcrowded.
However, rated capacity is based on cell square footage guidelines and does not
take into consideration deficiencies in the design and layout of various areas.
Even at levels significantly below the rated capacity, effective operations are
severely compromised. The State’s jail inspection agency, the Office of
Detention Facilities, acknowledged the fact that although the facility is rated
at 650, "it cannot properly house this number as living areas and support areas
were designed to accommodate a much lower number of inmates."
The impact of the facility’s design and capacities on operations
was examined with the finding that an operational capacity should be
established that would serve as a basis for the planning effort. The American
Correctional Association (ACA) Standard 3-ALDF-2C-04 (which provides that
approximately one-third of all secure housing be single cell) was recommended
as appropriate. This results in a facility operating capacity of approximately
530 beds (450 secure beds, 80 Huber dorm beds).
Inmate Population Breakdown
Typically, slightly more than half of the Racine County Jail’s
population are either in pre-trial status or being held for probation rule
violations, while county sentenced inmates account for approximately one-third
of the facility’s ADP. A majority of the county sentenced population is Huber
eligible by the sentencing court, however it is not uncommon for these
individuals to have "active holds" from other jurisdictions, a situation that
nullifies the Huber privilege. The remaining population includes persons
admitted for contempt of court issues including failure to pay child support,
those with short-term holds, and persons held for other agencies including INS
detainees. A review of jail records revealed a basic inmate profile. While the
numbers presented in Table 1-1 are for one specific day, a spot check on other
dates revealed the adequacy of the profile.
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Table 1-1
Inmate Population Breakdown
(608 inmates)

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Inmate Custody Profile
To help determine the basic profile of the county’s inmate
population security profile, a snap shot of the jail’s inmate population was
taken, that placed each inmate in one of the following detainment categories:
pre-trial, probation rule violation, county sentenced and the all-inclusive
"other" category. Generally, pre-trial inmates and those held on rule
violations require medium and maximum security housing, while 90% of county
sentenced inmates can be effectively managed in community custody or
minimum-security housing. [Note: 135 of 219 County Sentenced inmates were Huber
eligible.] In both 1999 and 2000, the County held an average of 27 INS
detainees daily. A 2:1 ratio of minimum to secure housing is suitable when
planning for these inmates. Using these ratios and adding a 6% classification
factor suggests that the facility’s secure bed requirement is no greater than
two-thirds of the facility’s average daily population. The remaining one-third
could be housed in a lower custody environment including Huber housing.
Inmate Program Opportunities
An impressive array of program opportunities is available to the
inmate population. Programs may be classified into two areas: A.) Personal
Growth and Development Services and B.) Jail Alternative and Reduction
Programs. These programs are designed to help the Sheriff’s Department achieve
the mission of attempting to "turn around inmate lives to break the cycle of
recidivism." These programs provide inmates with basic living skills,
mentoring, counseling, education, and alcohol and other drug abuse counseling.
In addition, many programs help to reduce the jail population.
Approximately, 30% - 35% of the inmates currently participate in
some program activity with the degree of participation varying from full time,
intensive involvement (AODA Program) of least 60 hours per week to once weekly
participation (AA) at 2 hours per week.
Personal Growth and Development Services
Services are offered in the areas of academic education,
religious services, and counseling. The Racine Unified School District provides
instruction for school aged youth, 18 years and younger. Gateway Technical
College provides instruction for inmates, who want to obtain a High School
Equivalency Diploma (HSED).
The Racine County Jail Chaplaincy Program is responsible for
providing religious services and counseling, which includes classes for Anger
Management and Life Skills. The full-time chaplain schedules volunteers to
assist him with AA, one-on-one counseling, and Bible study.
Jail Alternative and Reduction Programs
The Sheriff’s Department has been aggressively developing and
implementing jail alternative and reduction programs since 1997. In partnership
with Zimmerman Consulting, Inc. (ZCI), a continuum of programs is provided
inside as well as outside the Racine County Jail. These programs incorporate
inmate accountability and strong monitoring measures.
The Sheriff’s Department strongly believes that behavior
intervening programs are important to reduce recidivism rates. Programs that
impact behavior include the Alcohol and Other Drug Abuse (AODA) Program,
Children First Employment Program, and Day Reporting Center. The AODA Program
provides in-jail intensive treatment for inmates with documented alcohol and
illegal substance abuse issues. As a therapeutic program, the AODA Program
assists inmates in maintaining a clean and sober lifestyle when released from
jail; whereas, the Children First Employment Program and the Day Reporting
Center are transitional programs. Staff members supervise inmate activities so
that they can transition from jail into the community.
The AODA Program, unique to Racine County, consists of
two components. The In-Jail Component provides intensive alcohol and other drug
treatment for a minimum of 20 to 30 days. After a court-ordered stay of
sentence, the inmate is released to the 9-month After-Care Component for
continued treatment and supervision. Those who successfully complete the
9-month After-Care have their original sentence modified to jail time served.
Non-compliant participants are returned to jail to complete the time remaining
the stay of sentence order. This program began in June of 1998.
The Children First Employment Program provides inmates,
who are in arrears on their child support obligations, with job seeking
instruction. Program staff members assist inmates in finding employment. Once
employment is secured, inmates are transferred to the Huber dorm. After 6-8
weeks of working and with a record of paying child support, a hearing is
scheduled with Family Court to allow the participants to be considered for
early release from jail. Once released from jail, the Children First Program
staff monitor child support payments to ensure that the participants pay child
support for 3 consecutive months. This program began in August of 1999.
The Day Reporting Center allows eligible inmates to be
transferred from the custody of the secure facility to home detention. Inmates
must follow a very strict schedule that requires obtaining and then maintaining
employment. Other allowable activities include medical and social service
appointments, counseling, community service, and activities that help obtain a
valid driver’s license. Each day an inmate serves in the Day Reporting Center
equals one jail bed day saved. This program began in May of 2001.
Two jail reduction programs, the Inmate Worker Program and
Community Work Service Program, are designed to reward inmates for positive
actions; inmates earn credit for working inside the jail or on community
projects.
Though most if not all county jails operate an Inmate Worker
Program, this program allows approved inmates to work in the jail
kitchen, jail laundry or as jail cleaners for jail credit. By state statute,
inmates earn one hour off their sentences for each hour worked. Twenty-four
hours of work equals one jail day.
Similarly, the Community Work Service Program allows
approved inmates to work in the community for specified hours during the day
for non-profit organizations. Inmates can provide useful volunteer service to
the community and they earn one hour off their sentences for each hour worked.
Twenty-four hours equals one jail day. This program began in January of 1998.
The courts may order pre-trial defendants to be monitored by
either the Alternatives to Incarceration Program or Intensive Supervision
Program in lieu of serving jail time. Although these are jail alternative
programs, if found guilty, jail time may be ordered at the time of sentencing.
Alternatives to Incarceration (ATI) provides pre-trial
alternatives to adult defendants, who can be supervised or detained in a
non-jail environment. The courts order defendants into ATI as a condition of
their bonds. Sometimes electronic monitoring is also ordered. ATI monitors
defendants according to the bond conditions until time of their adjudication or
until the defendant is sent to jail for non-compliance. This program began in
1980, but it has significantly increased in use by the court system. In six
years, enrollments increased from 650 (1994) to 1219 (2000).
The Intensive Supervision Program (ISP) supervises
pre-trial repeat OWI offenders from time of initial hearing until final
adjudication. The courts order defendants into ISP as a condition of their
bonds. Non-compliance may result in the modification of the bond conditions.
This program began in August of 2000.
Programming in general is not funded out of the Sheriff’s
Department budget, but rather results from grants, charitable contributions,
and jail bed rental revenues. Oversight and control of the programs is provided
through the Sheriff’s Department command structure, although the persons who
provide the programming are not employees of the Racine County Sheriff’s
Department, and in many instances are volunteers.
A sampling of programs available to the inmate population is
presented in Table 1-2.
Table 1-2
Sampling of Program Offerings

Staffing
The Racine County Jail currently has a rated capacity of 650
inmates and a staffing contingent of 127, 65% of whom are detention officers.
The remaining 35% include correction clerks, cooks, nurses, etc. If these
positions were all filled during the year 2000, at an average population of
612, the staff to inmate ratio would have been 1:4.7. Survey information
presented by the Criminal Justice Institute provided a list of five other
facilities of similar size. These facilities had an average daily population of
649 inmates and an average staff number of 184, resulting in a staff to inmate
ratio of 1:3.5. A staff to inmate ratio of 1:4 is considered to be quite
efficient when all posts and other necessary positions are properly covered.
General Observations
The Racine County Jail presents a far less stressful situation
than is usually encountered in an overcrowded facility. To a great extent this
appears due to a well-defined command structure, a line-staff that properly
perform their functions, and an impressive array of program opportunities. The
Sheriff and key jail management staff recognizes that their responsibilities
extend beyond that of merely "warehousing" the inmate population. However, the
facility is operating far above operational capacity, has design flaws that
significantly compromise inmate, staff and public security, and is too lightly
staffed to properly support inmate movement requirements.
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Section 2 - Documenting Trends | Top
The first step in developing a jail forecast is to document
trends and project future volumes. This is obtained by use of historical data
that explains the number of admissions to the facility, the computed average
length of stay of all those admitted, and the facility’s average daily
population. The factors and issues that arise from the following statistical
data explain the mathematical forecast:
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County population (growth and demographics);
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County law enforcement personnel;
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County crime statistics (reported crime and arrests);County jail statistics
[Admissions (ADM), Average Length of Stay (ALOS), and Average Daily Population
(ADP)];
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Circuit Court case filings and dispositions; and,
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Comparisons with five counties of similar population: Brown, Kenosha,
Outagamie, Rock, and Winnebago.
[Note: These
counties have a combined average population of 167,000 versus Racine’s
estimated 2000 population of 189,500.]
Additionally, adjustments must be made for courses of action or
changes in policy that may significantly impact inmate numbers, bearing in mind
that these situations may be transitory. For instance, in Racine County a state
operated, 150 bed, probation violator facility is scheduled to open in the year
2002. If this facility is built, it may deflect as many as 75 inmates from the
Racine County Jail. A second situation is the anticipated cutback in public
defender services. This latter action will most likely result in longer
pre-trial lengths of stay and subsequently, higher daily populations, although
at this time the actual impact can not be determined.
In preparing this report the Consultant used data provided by
Racine County Jail staff, other county agencies, and state and federal
databases. In a number of situations, comparison data for the year 2000 will
not be available until October 2001; however, since trends as opposed to short-
term deviations are being assessed, the omission is not significant.
County Population
Between 1990 and the year 2000, Racine County’s population
increased approximately 8% (from 175,000 to 189,500), a number that was ½%
greater than the statewide rate. Low and high range projections for the
County’s population in the year 2020 range between 196,000 and 221,000. For
jail planning purposes, a population projection of 208,000 for the year 2020 is
used.
The County’s projected 20-year growth rate of 9.5% includes an
estimated decline in the number of individuals in the "at-risk" age cohort of
18 to 24 years by the year 2010. These numbers suggest that there will be no
extraordinary impacts on the justice system due to the County’s overall growth.
Number of Sworn Law Enforcement Officers
There is a direct correlation between the number of law
enforcement officers who are "on the street" and arrest and jail admission
statistics. Concomitantly, the number of sworn officers is related to the
public’s perception of the amount of street crime. The more street crime, the
more officers and therefore, the more arrests and admissions.
Between 1992 and the end of the year 1999, the number of sworn
officers in Racine County increased 3.6%, as opposed to a 4.1% gain in County
population. During this same period, Reported Index Crime declined 26% and the
Crime Index Rate declined 29%. These numbers suggest that there will not be a
major increase in the number of sworn staff with street law enforcement duties;
therefore, future county-wide sworn officer numbers are not expected to have an
extraordinary impact on the inmate projections.
Table 2-1 presents the number of law enforcement officers
employed by Racine County’s seven law enforcement agencies. Table 2-2 presents
a comparison with the five counties of similar size.
Table 2-1
Sworn Officers by Law Enforcement Agency

Table 2-2
Similar County Comparison of Sworn Officers per 10,000 Population

Crime and Arrest Information
Reported Crime
The Federal Government’s Uniform Crime Reporting (UCR) Program
compiles data on selected offenses to gauge fluctuations in the overall volume
and rate of crime reported to law enforcement. These Crime Index Offenses
consist of the violent crimes of murder and non-negligent manslaughter,
forcible rape, robbery, and aggravated assault, and the property crimes of
burglary, larceny-theft, motor vehicle theft and arson. [Note:
All Index Crimes are classified as Felonies in Wisconsin.]
Non-Index Offenses include such crimes as possession and sale of controlled
substances, criminal domestic violence, simple assaults, fraud, embezzlement,
weapons possession, prostitution, disorderly conduct, driving under the
influence, etc, many which are classified as felony offenses. The number of
Non-Index Offenses committed in a community far outweigh the number of Reported
Index Crimes and provides in conjunction with other situations, the majority of
jail admissions. Non-Index Offenders provide a pool of individuals who may
qualify for jail diversion programs.
From 1992 through 1999 the Crime Index Rate for Racine County
declined 29% with a similar decline (30.6%) reported for the five comparison
counties. The significance of Racine County’s crime numbers to the projection
process is that they don’t suggest extraordinary increases in jail population
due to advancing criminal activity. The majority of criminal activity does not
involve Crime Index Offenses and is not nationally reported; therefore a
decline in the Crime Index does not directly correlate to lower jail
populations. Any increases in Index Crime Rates tend to accelerate jail
populations, as persons detained or sentenced for Index Crimes tend to have
longer pre-trial stays and county jail sentences than those incarcerated for
non-Index Crimes.
Table 2-3 and Chart 2-1 present Reported Crime statistics for
Index Crime.
Table 2-3
Reported Crime

Chart 2-1
Reported Crime

Arrests
The Federal Government’s Uniform Crime Reporting Program
compiles arrest numbers for Index Crimes and Non-Index Crime activity; however,
differences in arrest practices for certain unlawful Non-Index criminal
activities, i.e. drunkenness, vagrancy, etc, make comparisons of total arrest
numbers difficult.
Index Crime Arrest figures for Racine County and the similar
size counties were available for 1996 through 1999. During this period, arrests
for Crime Index offenses in Racine County declined 16.5% from 990 to 827, a
figure that is essentially equal to the 15.7% decline recorded by the
comparison counties. Racine County arrests account for approximately 70% of
admissions. Concomitantly, arrests for Index Crimes represent just 15% to 20%
of total arrests. Although Index Crime arrest statistics provide useful
information regarding a jurisdiction’s response to serious street crime,
projecting jail population using the Index is not valid.
Table 2-4 presents Reported Arrest statistics for Index Crime
for the 4-year sequence of 1996 through 1999.
Table 2-4
Index Crime Arrest Numbers

Jail Statistics
A jail’s ADP is a factor of ADM and ALOS. Increase or decreases
in either the number of admissions or the prisoner’s lengths of stay will
determine whether a jail’s population rises or falls.
In most situations, the impact of length of stay on jail numbers
is significantly greater than that of admissions, as the majority of persons
booked into a jail are released within a few hours. However, a snapshot of
admissions and releases at the Racine County Jail - taken on three separate
days - revealed that 25% of inmates admitted on new charges were released
within 12 hours. Therefore, although length of stay is the primary factor, the
impact of pretrial admission numbers is greater than the numbers that are
ordinarily encountered in full service facilities.
Figure 2-1 shows the impact of admissions and ALOS on ADP for
1992 through 1999. The "Potential Scenario" (indicated by the gray shading)
shows the impact of increased admissions.
Figure 2-1
Historical Fluctuation of ADP based on ALOS and ADM

Admissions
For statistical purposes, an ADM is a person "booked" into jail,
regardless of how quickly the individual is released. The majority of jail
admissions stem from immediate arrests, as opposed to direct court commitments,
transfers, and deferred commitments.
From 1992 through 2000, yearly admissions to the Racine County’s
jail facility increased 13.5% from 7,608 to 8,637. Racine’s admission numbers
are significantly above the numbers recorded by the comparative counties, an
expected situation considering its higher Crime Index numbers, and its housing
of individuals for the INS. From 1996 to 1999 Racine County’s, admissions grew
16.9%, while the comparison counties experienced a 6.3% increase. However,
since 1998 the number of Racine’s admissions has ceased to increase, while
there are indications that admissions for the comparison counties have
continued to climb.
Table 2-5 presents Racine County Jail admission numbers for 1992
through 2000. Table 2-6 compares Racine’s numbers with those of the comparison
counties for 1996 – 1999.
Table 2-5
Jail ADM

Table 2-6
ADM Comparison

Average Length of Stay (ALOS)
ALOS is the average of the length of stay of all admissions for
the year. Unlike ADM and ADP numbers, ALOS is a calculated figure, determined
by the following tabulation [(ADP X 365 days)
/Annual ADM]. As the large majority of admissions are
due to arrests, the primary factors influencing a jail’s ALOS is the time that
elapses before an inmate makes bail and the time it takes for a case to be
concluded. Also of significance is the number and length of county sentences
and the time it takes to rule on probation rule violators.
[Note: The ALOS figure is most useful in comparing similar type jail
situations, i.e. pre-trial inmates and those held for probation violations
account for between 50% and 65% of a jail’s population.]
Generally, an ALOS above 20 is considered high for a full service jail.
From 1992 through 2000, Racine County’s ALOS increased 25.3%
from 20.6 days to 25.9 and reached a high of 27.5 days in 1999. By comparison,
from 1996 to 1999 Racine’s ALOS averaged 26 days, while the average of the five
similar counties was 20.4.
Table 2-7 presents Racine County Jail ALOS for 1992 to 2000.
Table 2-8 compares Racine’s numbers with those of the comparison counties for
1996 to 1999.
Table 2-7
ALOS

Table 2-8
ALOS Comparison

Average Daily Population (ADP)
A facility’s ADP does not account for day-to-day fluctuations in the inmate
count. To guard against a shortfall of beds during those periods when a jail’s
population exceeds the average, a peaking factor is utilized. Peaking is
determined by taking an average of those months (within a single year) that
exceed the ADP for that year. The peaking rate is the percentage difference of
the peaking number and ADP. [Note: Declining
peaking rates generally indicate that high and low end numbers are coming less
pronounced. What had been extenuating circumstances is now likely to be the
normal situation.]
Between 1992 and the end of the year 2000, the ADP of the Racine County Jail
increased 42%, from 430 to 612. This increase resulted from an ADM increase of
17% and an ALOS increase of 25%. [Note: The
small decline in ADP between 1999 and the year 2000 appears to be due to
decline in ALOS. Had this drop not occurred, the facility’s ADP for the year
2000 would have been 649.] For the nine years
included in the data analysis (1992 to 2000), the peaking rate average was
3.5%.
Table 2-9 and Chart 2-2 presents ADP and peaking figures for
1992-2000.
Table 2-9
ADP

Chart 2-2
Historical ADP

Between 1996 and 1999 Racine’s ADP increased 22.9% from 516 to
612, while the average for the similar sized counties increased 11.2% from 321
to 414. However, between 1999 and 2000, Racine’s ADP rose by just 3.5% while
the comparison counties recorded a rise of 12.6%.
Table 2-10 compares Racine’s numbers with those of the
comparison counties for 1996 to 2000.
Table 2-10
ADP Comparison

Case Processing
Approximately 65% of inmates housed at the Racine County Jail
are being held for trial, serving a county jail sentence, or being held by
order of the Family Court. An additional 6 to 8% of the jail population is
serving forfeiture sentences from one of the County’s 13 Municipal Courts. The
remaining inmate population consists of persons held for probation rule
violations, under contract (INS), awaiting transfer, etc.
From 1993 through 2000, criminal filings in Racine declined 14%
from 5,950 to 5,119. During this same period, the number of disposed cases
declined 12.9% from 5,730 to 4,993, and there was a 46% decrease in pending
cases. For this eight-year period, the ratio of Criminal Case Filings to
Dispositions (Disposition Rate) computes to a highly efficient rate of 97%.
While the large majority of persons charged with criminal offenses are not held
in jail pending trial, it has been observed that as Disposition Rates fall
below 90%, there is a slow down in the time of arrest to trial of a jail’s
pre-trial population.
As Disposition Rates decline from 90%, there tends to be a
slowdown in case completion times for pre trial detainees absent a judicial
order mandating the timely movement of jail cases. There are, however,
jurisdictions where the just mentioned felony and misdemeanor time
considerations are not met even though the Disposition Rate ratio is well above
90%, as is the situation in Racine County.
Table 2-11 presents Racine’s Circuit Court Criminal Caseload
Data for 1992 to 2000.
Table 2-11
Circuit Court Criminal Caseload Data

A means for assessing whether persons being held in jail on
criminal violations are being brought to trial with the least possible delay is
based on the assumption that 90% of felony cases should be disposed of within
120 days. Regarding misdemeanors, 90% of misdemeanor cases should be concluded
within 30 days and 100% within 90 days. This standard differs from Wisconsin’s
case processing recommendations that call for 100% of felony cases to be
concluded within 180 days and 100% of in-custody misdemeanor cases within 60
days.
A snapshot of Racine’s pre-trial jail inmate population reveals
that approximately 80%, as opposed to the 90% standard of those held in felony
charges, are held for 120 days or less. Similarly, the conclusion rate for
misdemeanors is not being met. [See Table 2-12 below]. As Racine’s Criminal
District Courts are not operating in a "clogged situation," the failure to meet
the standard suggests that jail cases are generally not moved ahead of non-jail
cases; an assessment that was confirmed by the State Public Defender.
Table 2-12 provides a snapshot of Racine County’s Pre-trial Jail
Population.
Table 2-12
Snapshot of Pre-Trial Population

Incarceration Rate (IR)
Incarceration Rate (IR) is the ratio of ADP to county
population. IR is calculated by dividing the county ADP by county population
and is expressed in terms of ADP per 10,000 population. Incarceration rates are
a means of comparing the detention trends and policies of one county to those
of another, as well as different sections of the country.
In 1999, Wisconsin’s local detention incarceration rate of 23.9
was 35% higher than that of the other Midwestern States. Racine’s rate of 34.5
was 30% higher than that of the comparison counties (33.9 versus 26) and 44%
higher than the statewide figure. These figures permit the general statement
that Wisconsin tends to utilize incarceration as its means of controlling crime
and enforcing judicial orders to a greater extent than other states.
From 1996 through 2000 Racine County’s IR increased 15.4% from
28 persons per 10,000 population to 32.3 persons. Over the same time, the
comparison counties saw an increase of 40% from 20.4 to 28.6, and the national
rate increased 13.3% from 19.6 to 22.2. These numbers suggest that while Racine
County’s IR exceeds the rate of the comparison counties, it is moderating in
line with the current national experience.
Incarceration Rate information is provided in Table 2-13.
Table 2-13
Incarceration Rates

As illustrated by Table 2-13, Racine County incarcerates at a higher rate than
the five counties of similar size. [Note:
Deleting the INS population from this number reduces the Racine’s 2000 IR to 31
per 10,000.]
Incarceration rates vary significantly within regions, by state,
and within a state. On the state level, differences between jurisdictions
regarding their rates of incarceration is set by local policy and procedures, as
determined by the "key actors" of the criminal justice system; namely
the judiciary, prosecutors, defense attorneys, probation officers, law
enforcement staff, and the agency charged with operating the jail facility.
The following section provides Racine County’s forecast and
projected bedspace requirement.
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